the eye of the storm
Post
Thursday, January 24, 2008
 
Faux pas
Excerpt from a MSN conversation with 2 of my coworkers, following a meeting. We were discussing the marital status of a colleague from another ministry.
[A] says (5:59 PM):
is he married

[B] says (5:59 PM):
no wedding ringggg

[A] says (6:00 PM):
but no wedding ringgg also can be married

[B] says (6:00 PM):
yes. possible.
aiyah he so pretty mebbe married already la.

Bayboy says (6:00 PM):
usually no wedding ring + married applies only to old ppl right?

{The only response for a while is the sound of someone ([A]) sucking in her breath dramatically}

Bayboy says (6:01 PM):
i sense disagreement somewhere...

{[B], also across the aisle in the cubicle next to [A] is blissfully unaware of what is to come}

[B] says (6:01 PM):
ha?

[A] says (6:01 PM):
JASON BAY!
u die!
{At this point [A], who is married with children and - let it be recorded - young, storms over to my seat and raises her unadorned fingers in indignation}
Ooops... :P
Comments:
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
 
Bloomberg.com: Opinion
Bloomberg.com: Opinion

I'm reminded of an OBS game we played during pre-departure course about, oh, 7 years ago. Everyone forms up in a circle and makes as if to shoot the person opposite with "finger pistols". A hula hoop is placed in the middle of the circle so that it rests only on our index fingers.

The rules of the game are simple: (1) we have to keep our fingers in contact with the hoop at all times; (2) the objective of the game is to set the hula hoop on the ground. It's not so easy - the hoop would mysteriously rise above our heads despite our willing it down. Turns out that we collectively underestimate our own strength. Physics would dictate that in order to bring the hoop down, the upward force provided by our fingers has to be less than that of the pull of gravity on the rather light hoop - at at least one instant in time. Unfortunately, when you try to keep your fingers in contact with the hoop, there's almost always a slight excess of upward force exerted over and above that needed to negate the downward pull of gravity - which leads to a rising hoop.

In the same way, Pesek's article talks about how the Federal Reserve, the large corporate banks, and even the Chinese government all have a vested interest in financial stability and in sterilising the real economy from the instability that's churning the financial markets. Hence the Fed injects credit into the markets, the Chinese government bails out banks whose balance sheets are deeply in the red. It's ironic that by doing all this, the different players may actually be helping to couple the fate of disparate entities together - such that when one falls, the rest follow in domino fashion. As I learnt recently, this could be interpreted as an example of the emergent behaviour exhibited by complex systems - a behaviour that is not programmed into any of the entities in the system, but which nonetheless emerges from their complex interactions with one another. Despite the intentions of all the players in the financial system to the contrary, we may be inexorably drawing closer to a true catastrophe of unprecedented proportions.

The increasingly severe wildfires in California are another example of emergent behaviour. The National Park Service in the US has had much success in reducing the occurrence of wild fires. Smokey the Bear and road-side signs warning of "Extreme" fire danger have brought down fire risk on a day-to-day basis. However, it is now believed that by interfering with the natural pattern of wild fires, NPS is actually helping to promulgate conditions favouring a massive burnout when a fire does start, whether naturally or accidentally. It may actually be more helpful for controlled burns to be used in order to prevent dry tinder from building up in the forests - waiting for a spark to set off an inferno.
Comments:
Sunday, December 30, 2007
 
Quest Updates
I guess I should update on my quests...

[30] Quit WoW

I really shouldn't have reactivated my World of Warcraft account. After a 2 month infatuation, I've managed to stay off for 3 months... Nevermind... easily reversed. The format of this post is a little nod to WoW though...
[Update: Have not logged on to WoW since, although my 13-yr old cousinnephew managed to get me to play DotA with him a couple of times...]

[50] Pirates of the Caribbean: At Wit's End
This has been sitting on the backburner due to all the changes at work. Now that I think I've settled down in my job - somewhat la... realistically it'll probably take at least a year to get really dialed in - it's time to get started on this. If nothing else I'd do it just because of the title!
[Update: This didn't work out... I need 9 pirate lords!]

[60] Because it's there
Time to start planning for Rinjani and Kilimanjaro. Lack of funds is no longer an excuse for not getting down to it. May need to convince people to come along for Kilimanjaro though... And then there's fitness - which brings us to...
[Update: Nothing much here... S Africa was beautiful though. I'd want to go back to Africa for the beautiful expanse of land they have. Reminded me a lot of an old lit text, "Cry, the beloved country". Definitely steeled my resolve to climb Kili soon...]

[70] Running for life
I absolutely hate swimming. It triggers a mild allergic reaction and gives me a runny nose. To a lesser degree, I hate running - even though I used to be able to do a 2.4km in 9:28. Unfortunately these are the two activities which are most effective at building up cardio health; and let's not kid ourselves that tennis is going to do much for aerobic fitness, much less golf. So I've signed up for a bunch of runs leading up to half-marathon in Dec. Hopefully committing to a target will sustain the voluntary effort and get the dopamine flowing. Perhaps a full marathon next year, even...
[Update: 12km Sheares Bridge Run was a morale-booster and scenery was great! Definitely feel on track for a good time at StanChart.]
[Update: Between falling sick the week before the NB Real Run and going on a biz trip, I lost about a month's of training, but still bettered my average time over the half-marathon in Dec! I'm pumped... Training resumes in Jan!]

Legend:
[Quest difficulty level (1-70)] Quest title
Gives no xp (should be peanuts)
Gives little xp (easy aka imba)
Gives xp (appropriate for current skill/experience level)
Gives loads of xp (very difficult)
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Monday, August 27, 2007
 
YouTube - Free Hugs Campaign. (music by Sick Puppies.net album out)
YouTube - Free Hugs Campaign. (music by Sick Puppies.net album out)

So simple and elegant. I can't remember who first sent me the link - and I thought I might have blogged about it either here or on FB, but can't seem to find it... oh well.

Anyway, there's a Free Hug day coming up on 10 Sep (day before 9/11). FB event is at 367,636 guests and counting... Don't miss it...
Comments:
Sunday, August 19, 2007
 
Thoughts on NDR
No bingo... a few near misses...




MalaysiaAgeing populationGoh Chok TongReference to subprime mortgagesKiasu
Singapore to look different in 10 years4th generation of leaders / leadership renewal (sadly nothing on this)
Rosy future (4-6% yoy GDP!)
Whole-of-government / World.SingaporeRetirement
Sustainable developmentIskandar Development RegionBar-top dancingAnnuitySail/boat metaphor for economic growth
(yes! without fail this makes another appearance at NDR)
Charity (near miss - philanthropy)HomosexualitySocial cohesionASEAN cooperationImportance of family
CPFReverse mortgage
(sort of viz. monetising of HDB lease less 30 years - another near miss)
Energy securityMy father (LKY)Entrepreneurship

Next year we should have bingo for people spotted on TV too... (I've decided to leave out politicians)

Spotted this year: Tan Kim Siew, Chiang Chie Foo, Peter Ho, Andrew Chew, Gerard Ee, Ho Ching, Su Chin!!! (2 bonus points for Malay language?!?!), Lim Pin, Insect floating behind PM Lee

This thing about legislating reemployment... Why can't employers let go of employees before 62? And what's with the hip (corny!) Home Improvement Programme? It sounds like a real gimmick to engineer a national programme dedicated to fixing broken doors, ceilings and toilets! Shouldn't we be spending that money on the real problems like ageing, or funding the $700m CPF rate increase... Speaking of which, the CPF deferment bonus payouts are also going to be huge... If it's going to be comparable to the interest rate increase for the soon-to-retire population, that means maybe $5,000 per worker? Say this affects 5 years with a cohort size of 30,000? That's $750m - on par with the cost of the interest rate hike! Good grief! These two measures alone could be ~3% of govt budget! Really makes the point that we need good economic growth to make all these things a reality...
Comments:
Thanks Jeanette for the clarification... so the relaxation of investment income accounting rules can help to fund the $700m interest rate increase, the D-bonuses (which will probably taper off in 10 years anyway) can be paid out of increased economic growth, and the GST hike is paying for workfare.
 
NDR Bingo
Alright. Just in time for the NDR tonight. If you're inclined to drink, then I'd suggest 1 per box, 2 for a 3 in a row, and a mug for bingo! Will try to update this as we go along :)





MalaysiaAgeing populationGoh Chok TongReference to subprime mortgagesKiasu
Singapore to look different in 10 years4th generation of leaders / leadership renewalRosy futureWhole-of-government / World.SingaporeRetirement
Sustainable developmentIskandar Development RegionBar-top dancingAnnuitySail/boat metaphor for economic growth
CharityHomosexualitySocial cohesionASEAN cooperationImportance of family
CPFReverse mortageEnergy securityMy father (LKY)Entrepreneurship

Comments:
Friday, August 17, 2007
 
Closure at last
Transacted my last bit of official business with MINDEF today (2 months after my actual last day) - collected my pink i/c, NS cert, attended a farewell gathering, and collected my plaque from our newly-minted one-star boss. Was great fun meeting my crazy colleagues, dredging up "war stories" and catching up on the latest goings-on. It'll be sad when my former colleagues move on - a process which unfortunately seems to be well underway already... We had a great team in our time, and really shared a lot of victories, tribulations, and frustrations...

In a very nostalgic mood today, so I thought I would dredge up the last email I sent... not quite the same tone as the farewell email sent by the son of you-know-who, and it's probably got only half the reach and half the length. Reading through it again tonight really brought back happy memories - so thanks for the memories again!
Comments:
From: Jason Bay Hanwei, SO ___, DPO
Sent: 08 June 2007 16:13
Subject: Thanks for the memories!

Dear all,

As many of you know by now, after 1 year and 10 months, the time has come for me to move on. Today will be my last day in Policy, and come 2 Jul, I will be posting to Strategic Policy Office, PSD, to begin serving my scholarship bond as a Futures (aka Scenario Planning) Analyst. While I eagerly anticipate my new posting, there is nonetheless some sadness in leaving Policy, where I have built up a certain comfort level working on Desk issues and working with all my colleagues. I definitely feel very fortunate to have, in my time here, gained some things that have made saying goodbye so hard.

If my next posting is to be my first bond posting, it would probably not be incorrect to dub my time in Policy my zero-th posting. Doing regular Desk work in Policy has given me a real headstart in life. Through all the ups and downs, and the oh-so-many "salmon days" we've all gone through, I've definitely become more attuned to the demands of working life in general and the civil service in particular. It has been a learning experience, in thinking critically, putting forth cogent arguments and, most importantly, in dealing with people. Even on the eve of my departure from Policy, I am still being made aware of how much more I have to go in learning to deal with others.

Most importantly, I have been privileged to have been acquainted with a bunch of the most dynamic, dedicated colleagues one could wish for. Really, the journey was something already, but it was the company along the way which made it really special and enjoyable. Coming into Policy with precious little working experience was an overwhelming experience, and would have remained overwhelming had I not been fortunate to have had so many helpful friends and colleagues along the way. In particular, special mention goes to those I worked with on a daily basis:-

DPO - Sometimes I wondered if it was such a good idea to have approached you after "crashing" the MINDEF tea session in Jul 05. As an electrical engineer, it sure felt like being a fish out of water at times. But when all's said and done, if I had a chance to do it all again, I would definitely not change anything. I cannot imagine a better, more enriching and meaningful way to serve your NSF obligation. Thank you for the opportunity!

COL Chia - You accepted and instilled only the highest standards of work in all around you, and we are all better off for it. I know that you always had the interests of your staff at heart, and I learnt many vital lessons during the 9 months we had with you as our DD. If I leave Policy with a keen eye for the slightest of details, it will be because of the valuable lessons which you imparted to all the officers who came and went through the doors of P_ under your charge.

Ee Ping - I don't think saying that you taught me something does justice at all to the impact you've made to my life. Of much greater significance was the fact that you were a role model to look up to, in deeds and in attitude. As a mentor and leader, I think it's far more important that your co-workers see you practice, than hear you preach - and this was certainly the case with you. I've read your message on the card, and if it is indeed true that I have grown in this job, it is only because of people like you who set an example for the rest of us to emulate.

Deanne - As a senior colleague, and later as branch head, thank you for your guidance. I would never have gotten past my first few months in office without your patient advice and assistance. Your slightly warped sense of humour really helped us get through some difficult times too, as is your ability to cut right to the chase and bring issues into sharper focus. Thanks for hosting the many snack sessions in your office, and for being so approachable!

Tiana - Wow, time flies. Having worked with you for the entirety of my time in Policy, from Asian Aerospace, to DCA, to _________… I must say I'm amazed by your commitment and dedication. I'll remember you for something you said to me late one Apr 07 night when we were both frustrated at one particular SAF department. In voicing your frustration, you had told me that you felt very strongly that the work we do is important, and as such it deserves to be done well. It's reassuring to know that we still have passionate people like you in MINDEF, both professionally and personally.

Pui Leng - The saying has to be that behind every staff officer is a tireless Registry assistant, and they don't come as dedicated as you. Thank you for all the late nights preparing briefs and all, and all the help finding that one submission buried in some file from the mid-1990s in the basement office.

Seet - Thanks for all the encouragement. Your cheerful personality is refreshing and our branch morale definitely went up with your arrival. Thanks for all the help and support this past year!

Yvonne - For putting up with all the "So, Yvonne, has our submission been approved by Minister yet?" calls, thank you. I'll greatly miss your friendship and advice, not to mention the "DPO wants to see you now" calls :) Okay, maybe I won't miss the last bit...

Jeet - Thanks for all your help setting up meetings, and keeping all our schedules aligned. I am still very impressed by the archive of files which you maintain, and which the Desk officers have referred to from time to time. It has certainly proven its worth from time to time.

Thomas - Here's wishing you the best of luck. ___ is an exciting Desk to be on and a great place to learn. Develop your own style and never be afraid to ask questions, especially while you have the benefit of being new. The smart questions now get sillier and sillier the longer you hold them off, and remember that Deanne and Tiana are the best repositories of advice you'll have in this office.

Unfortunately, due to space constraints, I have to restrict this list to my immediate work colleagues, and will have to dish out my other thank-you's in person. I know that even as we say goodbye, ultimately we are all part of Singapore Inc, and have all at one point in time or another felt and experienced the value and importance of the work we do defending Singapore and Singapore's interests. I look forward to working with you all again, and hope that our paths will cross again - sooner rather than later.

I will remain contactable at ________@______________.___ and _________@___.___.__ (after 2 Jul), and via cell at ____ ____. Keep in touch!

Best wishes and warmest regards,

Jason Bay
SO Region __ (outgoing), DPO

PS Thank you for indulging me through this long long email...

PPS Most grateful if you have phone recommendations. After nearly 2 years deprived of a camera-phone or the latest geek gadgets, you will understand why that will be the first thing I buy after we get our pay/allowance this weekend...
Thursday, August 16, 2007
 
Thoughts from an economist
Pithy phrases from an economist who spoke on climate change recently:
"While a democratic US president will allow the US to take leadership and focus the national agenda on energy, the direction will be towards technology rather than emission control. This will be suboptimal. We do not have a system for future generations to vote to protect their interests."

"We should use solar energy to handle the desalination of water, otherwise you are solving one problem by creating another."

"Gas is too valuable to be used for electricity generation."

"The world is eating too much sugar. Sugar cane can be biomass for fuel! However, the shortage of food is a potential blindspot and is an under-researched question."

"We cannot afford not to pursue redundant research; but if superconductivity succeeds, it will kill off hydrogen power."

"Not everyone thinks climate change is bad. The Siberians would like to see a few more degrees (rise in average temperatures), which would allow them to become a major grain producing region. Norwegian agriculture yields have been increasing with the warming temperatures."

"God should send a hurricane into Washington DC or New York City. It's a pity I cannot say this in public, but it would sure set priorities right."
Not the most PC, but that would certainly be a good catalyst...

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